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Chapter 33 Distributing Income Return to Economics Interactive Class Notes with Links |
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I. Income statistics |
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| Quintile | 1950 | 1960 | 1970 | 1980 | 1990 | 2000 | 20101 | |
| Lowest | 4% | 4 | 5 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 3.3 | |
| 2nd Lowest | 11% | 12 | 11 | 11.6 | 10.8 | 8.9 | 8.5 | |
| Middle | 17% | 17 | 16 | 17.5 | 16.6 | 14.8 | 14.6 | |
| 2nd Highest | 24% | 24 | 24 | 24.3 | 23.8 | 23.0 | 23.4 | |
| Highest | 44% | 43 | 44 | 41.6 | 44.3 | 49.6 | 50.2 | |
| Top 5% | 15.3 | 17.4 | 21.9 | 21.3 | ||||
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Various Statistical Abstracts of the United States, Data rounded Note: Inter-quintile movement is substantial as families continuously move into and out of the different quintiles. Census Bureau Tables E1 and H2 |
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Middle
Class: A Candle Burning at Both Ends
According to the Pew Research Center, the national median household income based on four person occupancy is $68,274. To be considered middle class an individual's household income needs to fall between 66.7 and 200 percent of this national median. Since 1971 the overall share of the middle-class as a population has dropped from 61 to 51 percent. To further segment the class into upper, middle, and lower incomes identifies an increasing divergence from the center. Since 1971 the upper tier's share has risen from 14 to 20 percent; at the same time the lower tier rose from 25 to 29 percent econintersect 8/30/12 Additional Reading http://motherjones.com/politics/2011/02/income-inequality-in-america-chart-graph Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage In the United States: 2010 Census Bureau September of 2011 World of Class Warfare The Poor's Free-Ride-Is-Over and the Fox Network look at raising taxes on the poor |
Americans work hard, produce more,
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| B. It started again with Ronald Reagan Data From April 26, 2009--The U-Turn as printed in economics principles. com | |
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P
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C. Other Data This Bureau of Labor Statistics and Census Bureau have interesting data. Over the last five years the percentage of young people are working has declined as has their real pay. This has happened even though they are investing more time and money in education. Data from page 13 of the July 2, 2007 issue of Business Week. U.S. Census Bureau
Conservative Thomas Sowell - Is "Income Stagnation" an Economic Myth? Liberal The Sad But True Story of Wages in Americans Question: Which graph belongs to which opinion? |
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Because households can be one person and families can have two workers, this households declined much more than than the family stagnation. |
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seekingalpha 4/23/13 |
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The recovery of the stock market after 9/11 and the most
recent housing boom
has household wealth up 40%.
Economist Magazine, April 4, 2009 page 11 |
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The Decade Ended Poorly
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Top 1% Approaching 25% of the Income from Business
Insider
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Every Age Group Is Getting Poorer In America, Except For One
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Secondary Source The Big Picture, August 21, 2007
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Primary Source:
Average
Incomes Fell for Most in 2000-05 |
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The Economist Magazine, April 4, 2009
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D.
Household income in the United States from Wikipedia E. Middle Class Squeeze Continues from The Big Picture Blog. F. According to one 2006 study**, by Dirk Krueger of the University of Pennsylvania and Fabrizio Perri of New York University, consumption inequality has barely budged for several decades, despite a sharp upswing in income inequality. See Does Income Inequality Lead to Consumption Inequality? Evidence and Theory” |
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II. Analyzing the distribution of income with Lorenz Curves and Gini Index |
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A.
A Lorenz curve depicts income inequality by plotting the percentage of income (Y) received by different percentages of the population. A 45-degree line represents perfect equality as 10% of the population receive10% of the income and 35% of the population receive 35% of the income, etc. Perfect inequality would be close to the x-axis as 99% of the population receive no income |
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B. The Gini coefficient is
a measure of the inequality of a distribution, a value of 0 expressing total
equality and a value
of 1 maximal inequality. It has found application in the study of inequalities
in disciplines as diverse as The Gini coefficient is a measure of the inequality
of a distribution, a value of 0
expressing total equality and a value of 1 maximal inequality.
It has found application in the study of inequalities in disciplines as diverse as economics, health science, ecology, chemistry and engineering. from Gini coefficient of Wikipedia 1. CIA World Factbook Gini rank order 2. Gini in a Bottle: Facts on Income Inequality |
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Economist Magazine 1/22/11
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C. American thoughts on
Timothy Noah points to a study that shows Americans underestimate income inequality. “The richest 1 percent account for 35 percent of the nation’s net worth; subtract housing, and their share rises to 43 percent. The richest 20 percent (or “top quintile”) account for 85 percent; subtract housing and their share rises to 93 percent. But when Norton and Ariely surveyed a group whose incomes, voting patterns, and geographic distribution approximated that of U.S. population, the respondents guessed that the top quintile accounted for only 59 percent of the nation’s wealth… Norton and Ariely also asked respondents what they thought the ideal distribution of wealth should be, and found, again, little difference among income groups, or between Bush voters and Kerry voters. Most favored a wealth distribution resembling that in … Sweden! But when you examine Norton and Ariely’s method, that particular finding gets a little shaky. They showed respondents three unlabeled pie charts. One depicted utopian equality, with wealth distributed equally among five groups. The second depicted the United States, with wealth distributed very unequally among five groups (one of which gobbled up 85 percent—Norton and Ariely put it at 84 percent, but let’s not quibble). The third depicted Sweden, where the top quintile accounts for 35 percent of the nation’s wealth. Neither the Swedish pie chart nor the U.S. pie chart was identified by nation. Norton and Ariely were astonished that 47 percent of respondents—remember these were all Americans—chose the pie chart depicting Sweden. But surely most survey-takers, when presented with two extreme options and one that lies in the middle, will instinctively gravitate, like Goldilocks, toward the middle option. More surprising to me was that second place went to Utopia (43 percent). Only 10 percent voted for the pie chart depicting the country the respondents actually live in.” |
Left axis is link between fathers' and sons' earnings.
Bottom axis is Income
inequality (Gini Coefficient). Gini coefficient - Wikipedia ![]() |
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III. Causes of income inequality A. Personal endowments differ (mental, physical, and personal abilities) B. Human capital investments differ (education and training) C. Job characteristics cause people to accept differing amounts of compensation (white vs. blue collar, job prestige, job risk) D. Wealth generates income E. Market power (unions, associations such as AMA, ABA, and AARP) F. Discrimination G. Willingness to assume risk H. Luck 1. Recently, 2001-2202, (like 1991, and 1980) was not a great time to be graduating from college and seeking a job. 2 .The worst time was 1929 -1938. My dad graduated from Tufts College in 1933. He got his first real job in 1937 and because of WWII, he didn't get his first new car until 1947. I. Power CEOs have the power and no one can stop them. Business Week, 2/26/07 p 44 J. Taxes K. Equality Denial from Economist.com takes a different view. L. Visit The L-Curve: A Graph of the US Income Distribution for an interesting of income distribution in the United States. M. Emmanuel Saez, economist, Berkley, studies income distribution of many countries. N. Income Distribution by country
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IV. Understanding poverty
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46.2
Million People in Poverty for 2010 Robert
Oak on Tue, 09/13/2011 - 14:13
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This is the highest number of people living in poverty for 52 years. To really
grasp how dire the situation is, one needs to know the United States poverty
levels, shown in the table below."
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| Year | Millions of Poor People | Percent | White | Black | Hispanic | Family of Four Poverty Income | Median
Couples Family Income Wife Not in the Labor Force, Current Dollars |
% increase |
Wife In |
% increase |
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| 1959 | 39.5 | 22.4% | 18.1% | 55.1% | NA | $2,973 | |||||
| 1970 | 25.4 | 12.6 | 9.9 | 33.5 | NA | $3,968 | $9,304 | ||||
| 1980 | 29.3 | 13.0 | 10.2 | 32.5 | 25.7 | $8,414 | $18,972 | 100% | |||
| 1990 | 33.6 | 13.5 | 10.7 | 31.9 | 28. | $13,359 | $30,265 | 60% | $46,777 | ||
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2000 |
31.1 |
11.3 | 9.4 | 22.1 | 21.2 |
$17,050 |
$39,982 |
32% |
$69,235 |
48% |
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2008 |
$48,502 |
21% |
$86,621 |
25% |
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Note: The ratio of nonwhite to white median family income while improving some in the 1960's, is back to approximately the .55 level it was in the early 1950's. 1992 and 2003 Statistical Abstract of the United States and 2001 Census Bureau DataUpdate from Institute for Research on Poverty: "In 2001 the number of poor and the poverty rate both rose as economic difficulties moved into recession, and the rate has continued to rise; in 2003, 35.8 million people were poor by the official measure of poverty. In 2004, the number rose to 37 million people (12.7 percent of the population)." |
Table 699 of the
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D. Federal programs to help the poor Editors Note:I'm not sure the UN or US does a good job of measuring exactly what US poor people live on. Send data to antonw@ix.netcom.com |
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V. Effectiveness of government poverty programs
| Quintile in 1990 | Income Before Taxes and Transfer | Income After Taxes and Before Transfers | Income after Taxes and Transfers | Effect of Taxes and Taxes on Income |
| Lowest | $2,096 | $2,045 | $10,904 | + $8,808 |
| 2nd Lowest | 14,644 | 13,126 | 18,676 | + 4,012 |
| Middle | 28,836 | 24,102 | 27,017 | - 1,819 |
| 2nd Highest | 45,836 | 36,991 | 38,780 | - 7,056 |
| Highest | 93,966 | 70,338 | 71,944 | - 22,022 |
| Department of Commerce from the 1992 Economic Report of the President | ||||
VI. Social Security payouts in major industrial countries
| Country | Share of Replacement Income for Average Workers |
Age for Full Benefits | Tax rate to finance pensions | Share of GDP | Analysis |
| Greece | 96% | 65 | 20% | 11.9 | Bar far the most generous benefits |
| Italy | 65 men, 51 women | 66,62 | 32.7 | 14.1 | Paying as they go? |
| France | 49 | 65 | 16.7 | 12.5 | Chasing Greece for first place |
| Germany | 42 | 67 | 19.9 | 20.7 | About the same as US |
| U.S. | 39 | 66 | 12.4 | 4.2 | Don't cost much so can afford very expensive military and health care. |
| UK | 32 | 68 | General Fund | 5.4 | Is reason that pensions must compete with other programs for funds? |
| data source http://news.yahoo.com/social-security-cheap-compared-europes-160413483.html | chart fromhttp://www.textbooksfree.org/Economics_33_Distributing_Income.htmb | ||||
VII. Saez income redistribution bytaxation video
VII. Understanding Poverty in America states that America's poor are not that poor.
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John Edward on Poverty in America from UC Berkeley |
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Robert Reich: How Unequal Can America Get Before We Snap? from USC Berkeley |
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VII. Author's editorial! from when he started this project.
A September 3, 1992 Wall Street Journal editorial by Robert Rector,
a policy analyst for the Heritage Foundation in Washington, D.C.,
reported the following concerning 1990 government spending on
poverty:
"Out of a total of $184 billion in welfare spending..." "...Census counted only $32.5 billion as income."
This means that the actual income of those living in poverty is substantially
understated. It is difficult to lower the number of
people
living on poverty income if much of the money given them
does not count as income! Approximate per capita understatement
would
be calculated as follows:
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Administrative costs must be subtracted therefore not all of the $4,328.57 per person was given in direct aid.
Note: Most poverty programs have a finite qualifying amount.
A family receiving substantial aid that is not counted as income
may just
qualify for aid while another family may earn just above the qualifying amount and receive no aid.
For a different views and more information visit
1.
Income - Home
for census bureau data and reports.
2.
Millions-of-americans-live-in-extreme-poverty-heres-how-they-get-by
3.
Fight
Poverty in the U.S.
from save
the children
4.
The Bell Curve and Social Stability: from
Shrink Wrapped Blog, A Psychoanalyst Attempts to
Understand Our World
5. The Capitalism They Hate by Anthony
de Jasay
A. Part I
The Inequality Machine
B. Part II.
Indecent Earnings
6.
Coming
Collapse of Middle Class - Elizabeth Warren The UC Berkeley Graduate
Council 1/31/08
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