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Chapter 33 Distributing Income

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I. Income statistics
   A. Percent of aggregate income received by families

Quintile 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Lowest 4% 4 5 5.1 4.6 3.6
2nd Lowest 11% 12 11 11.6 10.8 8.9
Middle 17% 17 16 17.5 16.6 14.8
2nd Highest 24% 24 24 24.3 23.8 23.0
Highest 44% 43 44 41.6 44.3 49.6
Top 5%       15.3 17.4 21.9
Various Statistical Abstracts of the United States, Data rounded
Note: Inter-quintile movement is substantial as families
continuously move into and out of the different quintiles.

    B. Household Income distribution by percentile (Figures in 2000 CPI-U-RS adjusted dollars)

Income by Decade

Percent change from previous decade

Percentile

1970 1980

1990

2000

1970 1980

1990

2000

1970 - 2000

Percentile

10th

$7,944 $8,945 $9,376 $10,600   12.6% 4.8% 13.1% 33.4%

10th

20th $14,425 15,503 16,050 17,955   7.5% 3.5 11.9 24.5 20th
50th $33,746 35,238 38,446 42,00   4.4% 9.1 9.2 24.5 50th
80th $56,646 63,075 70,882 81,960   11.3% 12.4 15.6 44.7 80th
90th $72,251 81,580 95,828 111,602   12.9% 17.5 16.5 54.5 90th
95th $89,553 102,472 121,654 145,526   14.4% 18.7 19.6 62.5 95th
U.S. Census Bureau has a great deal of interesting data.
This Bureau of Labor Statistics data reports that over the last five years the percentage of young people are working has declined as has their real pay. This has happened even though they are investing more time and money  in education. Data from page 13 of the July 2, 2007 issue of Business Week.

 

 

The recovery of the stock market after 9/11 and the most
 recent housing boom has household wealth up 40%.

Secondary Source The Big Picture, August 21, 2007

Primary Source: Average Incomes Fell for Most in 2000-05
DAVID CAY JOHNSTON
NYT, August 21, 2007
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/21/business/21tax.html

     C. Household income in the United States from Wikipedia
     D.
Middle Class Squeeze Continues from The Big Picture Blog.
   
 E. According to one 2006 study**, by Dirk Krueger of the University of Pennsylvania and Fabrizio Perri of New York University, consumption inequality has barely budged for several decades,
         despite a sharp upswing in income inequality. See Does Income Inequality Lead to Consumption Inequality? Evidence and Theory

II. Analyzing the distribution of income with Lorenz Curves



A Lorenz curve
depicts income inequality by plotting the percentage of income (Y) received by different percentages of the population. 
A 45-degree line represents perfect equality as 10% of the population receive10% of the income and 35% of the population receive 35%
 of the income, etc. Perfect inequality would be close to the x-axis as 99% of the population receive no income.

 


III. Causes of income inequality
      A. Personal endowments differ (mental, physical, and personal abilities)
      B. Human capital investments differ (education and training)
      C. Job characteristics cause people to accept differing amounts of compensation
           (white vs. blue collar, job prestige, job risk)
      D. Wealth generates income
      E. Market power (unions, associations such as AMA, ABA, and AARP)
      F. Discrimination
      G. Willingness to assume risk
      H. Luck 
          1. Recently, 2001-2202, (like 1991, and 1980) was not a great time to be
              graduating from college and seeking a job. 
          2 .The worst time was 1929 -1938. My dad graduated from Tufts College in 1933.
              He got his first real job in 1937 and because of WWII, he didn't get his first new car until 1947.
      I. Power CEOs have the power and no one can stop them. Business Week, February 26, 2007 page 44

      J. Equality Denial  from Economist.com takes a different view.

      J. Visit The L-Curve: A Graph of the US Income Distribution for an interesting of income distribution in the United States.
      K.
Emmanuel Saez, economist at Berkley, studies income distribution of many countries.

IV. Understanding poverty

     
A. 1990 Poverty threshold
          1. Originally set at three times a family's minimum food requirement, it is now adjusted for inflation
          2. $13,359 annually for a family of four
      
    3. $6,652 annually for a single person
      B. By 2005, the Department of Health and Human Services reported higher thresholds. 


     B. The poverty rate is decreasing.
         1. 32.0% of the population lived in poverty in 1950.
         2. Just over 11% was the poverty rate through the early 1970's.
         3. 15.2% of the population during 1981-82 recession which is the most recent poverty rate peak.
         4. 14.2% of the population (35.7 million people) in 1991 lived in poverty.
         5. Between 1970 and 1990 the percentage of children living in poverty increased from 14.9% to 19.9% with the corresponding
             increases for white, black, and Hispanic children being 10.5% to 15.1%, 41.5% to 44.2%, and NA to 33.9% respectively.

Year Millions of 
Poor People
Percent White Black Hispanic Family of Four 
Poverty Income
Median Couples Family Income, 
Wife Not in the Labor Force
1959 39.5 22.4% 18.1% 55.1% NA $2,973  
1970 25.4 12.6 9.9 33.5 NA $3,968 $9,304
1980 29.3 13.0 10.2 32.5 25.7 $8,414 $18,972
1990 33.6 13.5 10.7 31.9 28. $13,359 $30,265

2000

31.1

     11.3 9.4 22.1 21.2

$17,050

$39,982

Note: The ratio of nonwhite to white median family income while improving some in the 1960's,
 is back to approximately
the .55 level it was in the early 1950's.

1992 and 2003 Statistical Abstract of the United States and 2001 Census Bureau Data
 


Update from Institute for Research on Poverty: "In 2001 the number of poor and the poverty rate both rose as economic difficulties moved into recession, and the rate has continued to rise; in 2003, 35.8 million people were poor by the official measure of poverty. In 2004, the number rose to 37 million people (12.7 percent of the population)."

      C. Federal programs to help the poor
          1. Payroll tax programs
              a. Old Age, Survivors, and Disability Health Insurance (social security) pays retirement and disability income
              b. Medicare pays medical costs for social security recipients 
              c. Unemployment Compensation (paid by employers)
         2. Programs financed from general revenues
             a. Supplemental Security Income (elderly and disabled)
             b. Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC)
             c. Food Stamps
             d. Medicaid pays health care costs for the poor

V. Effectiveness of government poverty programs

Quintile in 1990  Income Before Taxes and Transfer Income After Taxes and  Before Transfers Income after Taxes and Transfers Effect of Taxes and Taxes on Income
Lowest $2,096 $2,045 $10,904 + $8,808
2nd Lowest 14,644 13,126 18,676 + 4,012
Middle 28,836 24,102 27,017 -  1,819
2nd Highest 45,836 36,991 38,780 - 7,056
Highest 93,966 70,338 71,944 - 22,022
Department of Commerce from the 1992 Economic Report of the President

VI. Understanding Poverty in America states that America's poor are not that poor.

John Edward on Poverty in America from UC Berkeley

Robert Reich: How Unequal Can America Get Before We  Snap? from UC Berkeley

VII.  Author's editorial!

       A September 3, 1992 Wall Street Journal editorial by Robert Rector, a policy analyst for the Heritage Foundation in Washington, D.C.,
       reported the following concerning 1990 government spending on poverty:

       "Out of a total of $184 billion in welfare spending..." "...Census counted only $32.5 billion as income."

     This means that the actual income of those living in poverty is substantially understated. It is difficult to lower the number of people
     living on poverty income if much of the money given them does not count as income! Approximate per capita understatement would
     be calculated as follows:

Administrative costs must be subtracted therefore not all of the $4,328.57 per person was given in direct aid.

Note: Most poverty programs have a finite qualifying amount. A family receiving substantial aid that is not counted as income
may just qualify for aid while another family may earn just above the qualifying amount and receive no aid.

For a different views and more information visit
1.
Income - Home for census bureau data and reports. 
2.
Wealth and Poverty Outline from the Department of Anthropology , Oregon State University
3. Fight Poverty in the U.S. from save the children
4. The Bell Curve and Social Stability: from Shrink Wrapped Blog, A Psychoanalyst Attempts to Understand Our World
5. The Capitalism They Hate  by  Anthony de Jasay
    A. Part I   The Inequality Machine
    B. Part II. Indecent Earnings
 

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