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Chapter 12 Keynesian Economics:
An Expanded View

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I. Understanding aggregate demand (C + I + G + EN )
     A. Consumption and Saving
          1. Average Propensity to Consume (APC) is consumption (C)
              divided by income (Y). 
              a. APC = C/Y
              b. APC decreases as income increases as people can afford to
                  save.
          2. Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) is the change in 
              consumption divided by the change in income. 
              a. MPC decreases as income increases.
              b. This makes sense because when an average is falling, what is 
                  happening on the margin must be less.
                  1) Suppose your test average after one test is 90 and after
                      2 tests its 80.
                  2) Your second test had to be below 80 to pull the average
                      down. Test 2 was a 70 and (90 + 70) / 2 = 80. 
                                                   
          3. Saving (S) is income minus consumption. S = Y - C
          4. Average Propensity to Save (APS) is saving divided by income 
              a. APS = S/Y 
              b. If APC drops as income increases, then APS increases as
                  income increases because APC + APS = 1
         
5. Marginal Propensity to Save is change in saving divided by
              change in income. 
              a. MPS increases as income increases because wealthy people can 
                  afford to save a higher percentage of income.
              b. This makes sense because when an average is rising, what is
                  happening on the margin must be higher.

                                                  

          6.
               Other factors affecting consumption and therefore saving include 
              wealth
(savings), expectations about personal needs and future
              economic activity, and concerns about consumer, business, and
              government debt.
     B. Investment is business spending on capital goods,
inventory, and 
          research & development.
          1. The level of investment is a function of expected profit, interest rates,
              and the level of technology required
to maintain a desired competitive
              position.
         2. Investment spending tends to be somewhat volatile.
    C. Government Spending is assumed to be constant. 
    D. Net Exports, exports minus imports, are also assumed to be constant
         for this simplified model.

Note: Points on a 45-degree line 
equate values on the x and y axes

 

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II. Aggregate Demand and Equilibrium
     A. Equilibrium (E) is where planned and actual AD and AS are equal.
          1. Equilibrium is where all goods produced for sale are sold. 
          2. At points below equilibrium, AD < AS, inventories are building and business 
              activity is contracting. This level of economic activity was depicted by the 
              horizontal (Keynesian) range of AS explained in the previous model.
          3. At points above equilibrium AD > AS, inventories are decreasing and 
              business activity is expanding
              as depicted by the intermediate range and eventually the classical range of AS.
          4. Economic activity (Real GDP) will be wherever AD intersects AS. 
              Equilibrium seldom exists as 
              economic activity is usually
in one stage or another of the business cycle.
     B. If economic activity is not in balance, a dynamic situation
exists and will continue
         until equilibrium is reached.
    
C. Keynes believed that E could settle at a level of economic activity with large
          amounts of unemployment.
          1. If potential Real GDP is greater than what actual AD yields, a recessionary
              gap
exists and may persist indefinitely. The
solution to this unacceptable
              equilibrium is to increase AD.
          2. If potential Real GDP is less than what actual AD yields, an inflationary gap
            
  exists and the inflation may persist indefinitely. The solution to this unacceptable
              level of economic activity is to decrease AD.
          3.
Inflationary and Recessionary Gaps- ACDC Economics in 60 Seconds
     D. Multiplier Affect (K) is importnat to determining the change in AD needed to reach 
          equilibriem E.
          1. Changes in AD will result in larger changes in NNP as increases are not spent and 
              respent.
          2. Decreases in AD have a similar but opposite affect.
          3. K = 1/MPS = 1?(1-MPC) Note: As MPS increases, K decreases.
          4. A MPS is 20%, Multiplier is 5 as 1/20% = 1/(1/5) = 1X 5 = 5 
          5. Fiscal policy and the multiplier... is an 9 minute video from youtube

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III. Fine Tuning Economic Activity
      A. In chapter 14 we investigate how government taxing and spending
           is used to affect AD and AS and affect the business cycle.
      B. In chapter 15 we investigate how  the Federal Reserve uses monetary
           policy to affect interest rates, AD and AS.
      C. The goal is to maximize growth while minimizing the inflationary
           and deflationary gaps.
      D. fine-tuning is difficult
      E. Seeking Alpha blog on Paul Volcker 
          and recent attempt to fine tuning U.S. Economy

View Macroeconomic Phenomena in the AD/AS Model  
         
by Dennis Kaufman of the University of Wisconsin-Parkside.

Wikipedia on Keynesian_economics 

 

 

 

III. Multiplier
       A. When determining the required change in AD needed to achieve E, the Multiplier (K) concept must
            be considered. 
       B. This concept states that a change in AD will result in a larger change in Real GDP as these changes
            multiply (are spent and re-spent or not spent and
re-not spent) throughout the economy. 
       C. Saving will act as a leakage
eventually stopping the change.
       D. Suppose more is spent on investment and people receive this as income.
           1. People receiving the income spend some (MPC) and save some (MPS)
           2. A second group receives  the  spending of the first group as income and they also spend
               some (MPC) and save some (MPS).
           3. The process continues until savings eventually stops the progression. 
       E. Calculating multiplier (K), the multiple by which GDP will increase given some increase in AD.
           1. K = 1 / MPS = 1 /(1 - MPC)
           2. As MPS increases,  K decreases 
           3.
If MPS = 20% then 1/MPS = 1/.2 = 5 
           4. An increase of $100 billion in investment will result in 5($100) = $500 billion in new national
                income.
           5.  K = change in Real GDP / change in AD = 500/100 = 5 
           6.
Some unpleasant Keynesian arithmetic Dank Rodrik
      F. Multiplier and Accelerator Effects from tutor2you          
      G. Accelerator/multiplier theories from The History of Economic Thought

IV. For more concerning Keynesian economics
    
 A. Maynard's Revenge: Keynesianism and the Crisis February16, 2010
      B. 
Keynesian economics - Wikipedia
     
C.  view information from the Institute for Economic Analysis

wikipedia on 
/John Maynard Keynes

 

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