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Chapter 11 Competing Macro Theories and Issues |
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II. Classical economics
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IV. Classical vs Keynesian equilibrium A. Classical explanation 1. Prices are flexible, output is stable. 2. Changes in AD cause prices to change, AS determines Real GDP. |
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B. Keynesian explanation 1. Output adjusts, prices are stable. 2. Changes in AD cause changes in employment and Real GDP. |
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| C. Aggregate supply over the
business cycle 1. QU represents a recessionary level of Real GDP. 2. QF represents a full-employment level of Real GDP. 3. Aggregate supply - Wikipedia |
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D. Manipulating equilibrium 1. Classical economists didn't see a need as Real GDP was fixed.. 2. Keynesian economists want to manipulate AD by changing C + I + G + XN to maintain noninflationary full employment. 3. Aggregate demand - from Wikipedia has a more complete explanation of the Keynesian view. E. Comparing Classical and Keynesian macro models 1. Classical and Keynesian Economics is a concise narrative of this material. 2. Aggregate Spending Model from Dr. Barbara Mikalson, Rio Hondo College |
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VI. The quantity theory of money
A.
Represents the basic theory behind macroeconomics prior to the Keynesian Revolution
B. Believed that changes in the
money supply would only affect price and not economic
activity.
C. The
equation of exchange
MV = PT
Money Supply X
Velocity of Money = Average Price Level X
Number of Transactions
1. Velocity of money is how often the money supply is spent.
2. Number of transactions is real economic activity
3. The equation is an identity
a. Dollars spent = dollars received
b. MV = Aggregate Demand and PT = Nominal GDP = C + I + G + XN = GDP
4. Classical theory stated that V was basically stable and that
there existed some natural level of growth for T.
a. This natural level was a function of individual and business interaction.
b. V and T were
essentially unalterable which meant changes in M would change P and not the natural level of T.
c. Government should therefore
refrain from interfering with market activity by adjusting
the money supply.
D. Came
into disfavor in the 1930's with the popularity of Keynesian economics which
stated that real output could
be changed by affecting
aggregate
demand.
E.
Additional reading
1.
1.
Quantity Theory of Money?
is a concise narrative.
2.
Quantity theory of money - Wikipedia,
explores the algebra.
VII. Monetarism
A. Monetarists believe
that changes in the money supply are both a necessary and sufficient condition
to cause inflation.
B. If AD was low,
increasing the money supply would only increase short-run
economic activity.
1.Eventually short-term expansion stops and increasing
M only adds to inflation.
2. Public anticipation stops the process from being repeated.
3. Monetarists believe
that government involvement in the economy, especially monetary
intervention, increases
the magnitude of the business cycle.
C. Keynes believed changing the
money supply would affect interest rates which would affect investment which in
turn
would affect Real GDP
D. To some degree monetarism is
an extension of classical economics. Its advocates believe
that a competitive market,
free from government
interference, results in economic
stability and a reasonable growth rate.
E. For more on Monetarism visit
Monetarism
from The Concise Encyclopedia Of Economics and
Monetarism
from the History of Economic
Thought Website.
F.
PRIVATIZE THE GAINS, SOCIALIZE THE LOSSES is a concise history of our 20th
century monetary system.
VIII.
New classical macroeconomics
A. Lead by
Milton Friedman
, these
economists revived the quantity theory of money.
1.
Milton Friedman Video on Greed
from You Tube
2.
Milton Friedman Video 30 minute interview on Open Mind
B. They rely on market forces and not government
manipulation of aggregate demand and the money supply to control
economic
activity.
C. This economic school of thought has much in common
with those who believe in
Rational expectations.
1. This recently
formed school does not assume market participants have perfect knowledge.
2. Instead, it assumes
market participants will learn from experience and use current information to
predict and
adjust to the expected future.
3. The result is not the
disequilibrium of Keynesian economics with its inflationary and deflationary
gaps but a constant
equilibrium with economic
behavior adjusting to be compatible with different levels of economic
activity.
4. As with the classical
school, the new classical school, monetarist, and those
believing in rationalist expectation feel
government involvement in
economic activity is not beneficial.
D. Reasons for self-correction nature of
capitalism
1. Wages are Inflexible
downward as employers face a minimum wage and lower wages cause a moral problem
and lower efficiency.
2. Efficient wage theory
states higher wages lower required supervision and lower per unit cost.
3.
Insider-outsider theory of employment
there is absence of wage underbidding even when many unemployed workers are
willing
to work for wages lower than existing insider wages (normalized for productivity
differences)
E. For more on
New Classical Economics visit
New
Classical Macroeconomics, by Robert King: The Concise
IX. Supply-side Economists
A. Slow economic growth and high inflation of the
1970's caused some economists to emphasize increasing Aggregate Supply.
B. Known as Supply-Side Economics, this theory is
discussed in chapter 16.
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